AI Services

Predictive analytics built from your own history with the accuracy reported

We build forecasting models from the data your business already records, for demand, sales, stock, or churn. We report how accurate each model is before it is used for planning.

A forecast is an estimate with a range, and the model reports that range alongside the figure.

Based in Lahore, we work with businesses across Pakistan and internationally.

Built from your own dataAccuracy reportedRanges shown with figuresQuoted in Pakistani rupees
Demand and salesStock and reorderChurn and riskAccuracy reports
History and accuracy reviewed before a model is used
Our approach

Check the history before building the model

A forecast can only be as good as the history behind it. We start by reviewing the data you record: how far back it goes, how consistent it is, and which events, such as price changes or holidays, need to be marked. Where the history is too short or too broken to forecast, we say so before any model is built.

Models are tested on past periods they have not seen, and the accuracy from those tests is reported with the forecast. The team then decides how much weight to give it.

Quick answers

What can be forecast?

Anything with enough consistent history: demand by product, sales by month, stock needs, customer churn, or cash flow. We check the history before committing.

How accurate is it?

It depends on the data. We test each model on past periods it has not seen and report the error, so you know the range before relying on it.

How much history do we need?

Usually two or more years for seasonal patterns, and at least several months for shorter cycles. We confirm after reviewing your data.

What the work can include

What a forecasting project can include

Data review

Assess how much history you have, how consistent it is, and what needs to be marked.

Model building

Build and compare models for the measure you need to forecast.

Accuracy testing

Test on past periods the model has not seen and report the error.

Delivery

Deliver forecasts to a dashboard, a spreadsheet, or a system on a schedule.

Review

Retrain and re-test the model as new data arrives, with the accuracy tracked over time.

Technology

Standard forecasting methods, chosen by testing

There is no single best forecasting method. We compare several on your data and keep the one that tests best, from classical time-series methods to machine learning models where the data supports them.

  • Methods: Classical time-series and machine learning models compared on your data
  • Testing: Held-out past periods used to report accuracy
  • Delivery: Dashboards, spreadsheets, or a system connection
  • Retraining: Models updated on a schedule as new data arrives

Modeling

ProphetXGBoostscikit-learnPyTorch

Data and features

SnowflakepandasFeature store

Serving and safety

APIsDashboardsPrivate deployment
Planning example

Compare two scenarios for time spent preparing forecasts

Enter your own figures to compare the hours your team spends preparing forecasts and plans now with a second scenario you choose. This shows the arithmetic difference between the two; it does not forecast what a model will achieve.

Illustrative monthly cost difference
Rs. 0
based only on the figures you entered
0
Hours difference per month
0
Hours per month in the comparison scenario
Discuss your data with us

These figures compare only the assumptions you enter. They do not include the cost of the build, and they do not predict time savings.

How we work

From history review to a forecast in use

Request a forecasting quote
01

Review the history

Assess the data you record, how far back it goes, and how consistent it is.

02

Define the forecast

Agree what to forecast, how far ahead, and how it will be used.

03

Build and compare

Build several models and test them on past periods.

04

Report the accuracy

Deliver the forecast with its tested error and range.

05

Deliver and retrain

Deliver on a schedule and update the model as new data arrives.

Who it is for

Where a forecast changes a decision

Retail and e-commerce

Demand by product to plan stock and promotions.

Distribution

Reorder points and quantities from demand and lead times.

Subscription businesses

Churn risk by customer to focus retention effort.

Finance teams

Cash and revenue forecasts with a range for planning.

Why it matters

Plan from a tested estimate instead of a guess

A forecast with a reported error is more useful than a confident guess, because the team knows how far to trust it. We report the accuracy with every forecast and track it over time, so a model is kept only while it tests well.

  • Built from your own recorded history
  • Accuracy reported from held-out tests
  • Ranges shown alongside figures
  • Retrained as new data arrives
Abstract teal hub-and-spoke network with the Predictive Analytics & Forecasting icon at its center, by 313 Automations
Pricing

Predictive analytics pricing

Predictive analytics and forecasting starts from Rs. 150,000. The final quote depends on the number of measures forecast, the state of the data, and the delivery and retraining in scope.

FAQ

Predictive Analytics: your questions

How much historical data do we need?
Usually two or more years for seasonal patterns and at least several months for shorter cycles. We review your data first and say whether it is enough.
How accurate will the forecast be?
It depends on the data. Each model is tested on past periods it has not seen, and we report that error with the forecast. A forecast is delivered as a range, and the range is part of the answer.
Can it forecast a new product with no history?
Only by analogy with similar products, and with a wider range. We say when a forecast is an analogy and when it is built from the item's own history.
How often is the model updated?
On a schedule agreed for the project, usually monthly or quarterly, with the accuracy re-tested each time.
How much does predictive analytics cost?
Predictive analytics and forecasting starts from Rs. 150,000. The quote depends on the measures, the data, and the delivery in scope.
Do you work with businesses outside Lahore?
Yes. We are based in Lahore and work with businesses across Pakistan and internationally. Forecasting projects are delivered remotely.
Get started

Tell us what you need to forecast

Describe the measure you plan around and the data you record. We will tell you whether the history supports a forecast and what it would involve.

Quoted in Pakistani rupeesEnglish and Urdu
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